The Institute has an exciting array of once-off and regular publications on key development policies, with emphasis on Sub-Saharan Africa. They include Books, African dialogue, research papers, working papers, occasional papers and economic reviews. The Institute’s publications communicate the analysis, views, and scholarship of their authors and are not intended to reflect an official view of the Institute or the views of members of the Institute’s Board of Trustees.

Title
Domestic Revenue Mobilization and Reform of the Tax System in Burundi
This book explores the link between tax reforms and revenue mobilization, and the options available for policy-makers on revenue mobilization in Burundi. It sets the current system in the context of reforms that have taken place over the last 30 years or so.
Domestic Revenue Mobilization and Reform of the Tax System in Namibia
This bookexplores the link between tax reforms and revenue mobilization, and the options available for policy-makers on revenue mobilization in Namibia.It sets the current system in the context of reforms that have taken place over the last 30 years.
Taking stock of the tax reforms in Uganda, 1950–2018: Why tax exemptions should be avoided
This book traces the tax policy and administrative measures that Uganda government has since introduced and implemented over the past six decades, and explains how the country fared under these reform episodes
The rise and fall of budget support in Africa
This book provides a critical appraisal of budget support in Uganda since 1998- 2018, highlighting the socio political economy factors for the rise and fall of budget support. It explains why in the past years, support for GBS has diminished significantly among major bilateral donors. While some bilateral donorsreduced their GBS operations, others (formerly dedicated
Putting money in a basket with holes: a radical rethinking of the way to finance poverty reduction in Uganda
This book explores ways in which donor agencies can avoid the pitfalls of basket funding to impact the lives of the poor in Uganda.
Public Expenditure Management Effectiveness in Uganda’s Education System
This paper describes how the public education expenditure management system works in Uganda. It specifically identifies the formal roles of institutions; the structure and flow of information generated by the public expenditure management system and applies them to the Education Sector in Uganda. It shows the procedures for each stage in the expenditure and budget
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    This paper uses data from series of Education Statistical Abstract (ESA) 1989-1992, ESA 1993, ESA 1994, ESA 1995, ESA 1996, ESA 1997, ESA 1998, Headcount and School Mapping Exercises 1999, ESA 2000, and ESA 2001 and interviews to assess the effect of UPE, and public education expenditures on quantity and access to primary education (as measured by the primary gross enrolment ratio, the primary net enrolment ratio), the internal efficiency of education systems (as measured by the survival rate to primary grade five, the primary school completion rate, and dropout rates).

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    Using survey data covering 30 districts in Uganda, the paper examines the structure and functioning of the agricultural market in Uganda; the role of past reforms with regard to food security; the trend in food production and consumption; market linkages; seasonality as well as recurrent crisis (shocks) that have affected the market; among other issues. With regard to market integration the Johansen test was employed, based on a vector regressive (VAR) model. The bivariate cointegration test of prices between different markets was carried out with VAR = 2.

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    This paper reviews the policies in the four riparian countries (Burundi, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda) with regard to integrated water resources management. It looks at past performance of the water sector under the existing policy framework.

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    This paper describes how the public education expenditure management system works in Uganda. It specifically identifies the formal roles of institutions; the structure and flow of information generated by the public expenditure management system and applies them to the Education Sector in Uganda. It shows the procedures for each stage in the expenditure and budget process, and indicates how on-going reform processes are modifying the system. Efficient and effective public expenditure management is an essential precondition for government to be able to work towards achieving good education outcomes. The purpose of this chapter is to see whether the public expenditure management system itself could be improved to lead to  a better and more effective use of public resources on education.

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    This paper reviews the African experience in fostering financial inclusion. It examines two aspects of financial inclusion—access by enterprises and households to affordable and appropriate formal financial services and the actual usage of financial services and products, how this has been helped with financial deepening. Empirical evidence does not point to a clear, definite relationship between financial deepening and access to affordable financial services or usage of financial services. This underscores the importance of paying attention to all dimensions of financial inclusions and innovations that meet the firms and households’ needs. Financial inclusion is part of the solution to the serious problem of financial access/usage gaps that exist in many African countries, but not of itself a panacea.

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    This paper surveys evidence of the impact of macroeconomic and financial sector policy announcements in the euro area during the recent crisis on interbank credit and liquidity risk premia. Evidence suggests that interest rates cuts, fiscal stimulus and recapitalization measureswere effective in calming the distressed financial markets as measured by reduction of the Libor–OIS spread. However, decisions not to reduce interest rates as well as ad hoc bank bailouts widened the Libor–OIS spread thus increased stress in the financial markets. Liquidity support announcements were initially effective, as measured by the reduction in the Libor-OIS spread, but lost significance as the crisis worsened.Both announcements of capital injections and guarantees on bank liabilities were effective in reducing credit risk in the euro area.The results of the event study further illustrate that the short-term impact of interventions depended on the particular circumstances that prevailed during each phase of the crisis.

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    - This paper documents economic trend in Swaziland aftermath of the global economic and financial crisis, establishing that Swaziland’s economy is highly dependent on external market and the country’s growth prospect is largely contingent on developments in South Africa. The declining trend in Swaziland’s growth trajectory has arisen in part from the country’s reliance on revenues from a few primary commodity exports and foreign inflows, and falling revenue from SACU’s revenue sharing pool, which reaffirms both the impact of the global economic crisis and the binding constraints to economic growth and country’s eroding global competitiveness. Government borrowing and the rate of build-up of public debt is directly link to changes in SACU revenue.

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    This paper provides evidence of Uganda’s emerging middle class and its potential economic opportunities. Using various sources of information, including key informant interviews, national household surveys data, and case studies, the paper establishes that although Uganda’s emerging middle class is less than two decades old and is, still in many ways inchoate, the importance of the middle class comes from the fact that it is growing at a faster pace than the overall population. The growth in middle class both in terms of size and its purchasing power over the past ten years has been the outcomes of population and economic growth, tertiary education expansion, advancement in information and communication technology, and innovation in financial services.

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    This paper examines the financial system reforms in the context of financial sector deepening, and strategy for financial sector development and inclusion in Uganda. Results suggest that the indicators of financial sector development are largely as they were in 1996 and that the actual gains from financial inclusion strategies are small. Evidence suggests a weak link between financial deepening and financial usage by firms and households. It finds the acclaimed success (by policy makers and stakeholders) in achieving financial inclusion somewhat exaggerated because their assessment relies in large part on the number of financial and mobile money accounts. The paper concludes that measurement of financial inclusion needs to go beyond looking at account numbers to understanding what is done with those accounts. It also recommends the subordination of financial inclusion policy to the needs of firms and households (—the type that is modelled to fit the local context) and more consideration of behavioural constraints in financial inclusion programmes.

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    This paper analyses the relationship between innovation and employment at firm level using the Uganda 2011–2014 national innovation survey dataset. It follows Harrison et al (2014) structured approach—relating employment growth to process innovations and to the growth of sales separately due to innovative and unchanged products—and shows positive effects of product innovation on employment at firm level, while process innovation has no discernable impact on employment. Although there is evidence to suggest displacement of labour in some cases where firms only introduce new process, this effect is compensated by growth in employment from new products. Results further suggest that source of innovation as well as size of innovating firms or end users of innovation matter for job growth. Innovation that develops from within the firm itself (user) and involving larger firms has greater impact on employment than innovation developed from outside or coming from within smaller firms. In addition, innovative firms are one and half times more likely to survive in the innovation driven economy (environment) than those that do not innovate. Therefore, supporting policies need to be correctly tailored since the impacts depend on the innovation strategy (type) and characteristics (e.g. size) and sector of the innovative firms. Policies to spur investment, particularly in innovative sectors and firms with high growth potential would have long lasting effects on job creation.

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